San Diego State -4 v. Utah. Delon Wright is really nice but it takes more than one guy with a not-quite-there-yet supporting cast to win at The Show.
VCU -11.5 v. Toledo. Still like the Rockets...but VCU swallows up teams like this on its home floor.
Old Dominion -2.5 v. Richmond. Chris Mooney a classic case of why you strike when the iron's hot. He should be getting fired at a power 5 school right around now.
Youngstown State +7 @ Central Michigan. I just love that there's a school out there who counts when Chris Kaman was there as its halcyon days. But those days are gone.
Indiana State -2.5 v. Saint Louis. The kind of game that makes you realize the Billikens are really rebuilding after a few year stretch that they may never match again.
Xavier -11 v. Long Beach State. Total heart over head pick, I'm riding the X bandwagon as much and as long as I can. 49ers look good so far though.
Michigan State +7.5 v. Duke in Champions Classic game 1. I just want to believe this is going to be close at the end.
Northeastern +11 @ Florida State. Yeah, there's something off with this line. Given the Huskies returning experience, the +525 moneyline is a nice shot too.
Ohio State -12 v. Marquette. I can't help but think back to that utter stink bomb the Golden Eagles dropped on their home floor against the Buckeyes last year.
Minnesota -10.5 v. Western Kentucky. Minnesota's not scared of these tough mid major teams coming in to the Barn. They've had it happen a lot in recent years with the Dakota schools, Bucknell, etc. Plus they showed me something in Puerto Rico. They're tough.
UT Arlington -3 v. Buffalo. This is one where you look at all the money being on UT Arlington and you realize it's for a reason. This isn't the kind of game where you want to fade the public.
DePaul -9 v. Drake. Drake had that one year - that ONE year - when they ran the Valley and got a 5 seed...and then got stunned at the buzzer by a Western Kentucky long 3. They've been roughly a .500 team ever since. I hate taking DePaul here but I'd rather take them than a team that got trucked against Bowling Green at home.
BYU -16.5 v. Arkansas Little Rock. Little Rock's been in the top 100 in adjusted tempo the past 3 years. That's not the way you wanna play at the Marriott Center when you don't have the horses.
LSU -7.5 v. Texas Tech. Red Raiders only beat Loyola Maryland by 12 (that's bad) and are really, really young. Maybe they're not quite walking in to Death Valley but this should still be a tough atmosphere to close out the marathon.
Kansas +7 v. Kentucky in the Champions Classic game 2. I just want to believe this is close at the end part 2 plus I think everyone's maybe overrating the favorites and underrating the underdogs a little - just as was the case coming in to this event last year.
UNC Greensboro -2 v. UNC Wilmington. 270 in KenPom meets 272 and East meets West! I'll take West because they don't have the beaches although it's looking like a strong year to have the ACC tournament.
Penn +3 v. Rider. My grandfather's a Princeton man and I've always rooted for them too. With that said, it's sad to see our (?) traditional rivals as down as they have been in recent years. Both Ivy basketball powers need a resurgence, especially after this bullshit Harvard losing to Holy Cross.
La Salle +3.5 @ Quinnipiac. Bobcats may still be drained from a 2OT triumph over Yale. Even if they're not this feels like a second straight one possession game.
Murray State -1.5 @ Middle Tennessee State. MURFREESBORO has always been a sneaky tough trip for football and hoops but the Racers need to get back on track after a surprising home loss to Kelvin Sampson's Houston to start the season. Blue Raiders aren't what they were a few years ago when they should've won the Sun Belt tourney but never could.
Southern Illinois -9 @ Tennessee State. Still cautiously optimistic about a decent season in Carbondale....
Butler -15.5 v. Chattanooga - Was gonna take the Mocs and then I saw they were wedged between Incarnate Word and SIU-Edwardsville on Kenpom.
Boise State -16.5 v. Montana. This feels like kind of a high number but I like the Broncos and the Griz are starting over.
Stony Brook +13.5 @ Georgia. This too is a great moneyline shot - +800?! Wow. That's incredible value.