Sunday, November 23, 2014

College Basketball Picks - November 23

Missed the early games because I refused to pick late last night with many of the lines not being out.  Without looking at spreads I can tell you I would have won on Wofford and Youngstown State and lost on Charleston so I'm a pretend 2-1?  Anyway.

Providence +4.5 v. Notre Dame in Mohegian Sun.  60% of the money is on the underdog Friars.  Maybe because they've shown us something and ND hasn't?

Fairfield -1.5 v. South Dakota.  This makes no sense and 80% of the money on South Dakota makes even less sense.  The common results against the other teams in this little tourney (Wofford, Sam Houston State) are lopsided in favor of the Coyotes but I'm still taking the hosts.

Eastern Michigan -15.5 v. Longwood.  Still picking against Longwood.

N.C. State -15 v. South Florida.  South Florida has struggled in each of its three wins, which is bad because those wins are over Flagler (who), Jackson State and UAB (in overtime.)  Big step up in competition.

Georgia -15.5 v. Florida Atlantic.  Bulldogs have been quietly impressive thus far since the opening night loss to rival Tech.

Washington -13 v. Pacific.  Huskies struggled with Seattle but that was in Seattle.  Pacific's not good enough to be getting this few points.

Saint Mary's -3.5 v. UC Irvine.  Ooh sneaky good California mid/low major matchup.  I'm not sure if I like the Anteaters enough to take them in Moraga.

UCLA -10 v. Long Beach State.  Ooh sneaky good California major/low major matchup.  But this feels like a bit of a letdown spot for the Beach having to go to Pauley Pavilion just days after the exhilirating home win over K-State.

Dayton -5.5 v. Boston College in the Puerto Rico third place game.  BC should really be in the final so they're probably dejected.  Flyers got handled by the champs so they'll be aiming for a considerably better performance today.
Connecticut -4 v. West Virginia in the Puerto Rico championship.  Crazy line.  Amazingly, the money is split on Bookmaker.  I have to imagine a lot of rich Husky fans are hammering their team in Vegas or offshore though.

Posting now because it's 2:30 and a couple tips are happening, update to come

Navy -1 v. Binghamton at Mohegan Sun.  Binghamton.
Northeastern -3 v. Manhattan in Mohegan Sun.  The bookies haven't adjusted for the Huskies yet?

USC +6.5 v. Penn State in the Charleston 5th place game.  Taking a leap of faith here but I think PSU's drained after its first two games and I still can't quit Andy Enfield.
South Carolina -6.5 v. Akron in the Charleston 3rd place game.  Too generous to Akron.
Charlotte +8.5 v. Miami (FL) in the Charleston championship.  Wow that is a lot of points for an underdog that's shown its worth and a favorite who still might not be good enough to run away in a championship game.

Louisiana Tech -28.5 v. Presbyterian.  Presbyterian.  Honestly I think this line might be 5 points too high but....Presbyterian.

Kent State -1.5 v. Yale.  Uhh....what?

Samford +8 @ UMKC.  Take the Roos.

Towson +5 @ Monmouth.  Feels like a close game either way.

Seton Hall -7 v. Gardner-Webb in the Paradise Jam.  This might be my new favorite line of the day.

Old Dominion -4 v. Illinois State.  I'm starting to fall in love with the Redbirds again though.

Eastern Illinois +18 @ Cincinnati.  Dumb underdog pick of the day.

Kentucky -39 v. Montana State.  This is about the biggest spread you can get.  Been looking forward to it all week.

North Texas +6.5 v. Iona.  I still love my Gaels but this is a weird, long road trip.

Vanderbilt -19 v. Tennessee State.  Tennessee State won 20 games in 2012 and gave Murray State its only loss before the NCAA tournament (at Murray.)  Then their coach left but they still won 18 games in 2013.  Last year, they won 5 games.

Northern Arizona +15.5 @ Mississippi.  Another shot at a sneaky decent low major going to Ole Piss?  Yes please!

Colorado State -16 v. Mercer.  The team who beat Duke is pretty much all gone.

Creighton -11.5 v. NC Central.  The MEAC's best team over the past couple years is still strong, but weakened.  And as Oklahoma learned earlier this week, it's really hard to play well at Qwest for 40 minutes.

Ohio State -26.5 v. Sacred Heart.  Sacred Heart.

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