Sunday, November 30, 2014

College Basketball Picks - November 30

Already missed the game of the day in Texas/UConn.  That's okay, at least I can still take...

Texas San Antoino -8.5 v. Southern Utah.  Southern Utah.
Southern Utah won on a (few feet in front of) half court buzzer beater!  0-1

Texas Tech -10 v. Air Force.  Hard to call game because the Academy's three wins have been over Colorado Christian, Western State and The Citadel whereas Tech has barely covered this number in their three wins over unimpressive competition in Missouri State (bad), Northwestern State (worse) and Loyola MD (worsest.)  I'll take Tubby Smith because I've always liked him.

Kentucky -21 v. Providence.  KenPom only has this as a 14 point win for Kentucky, which tells me his formula doesn't factor in the Godliness of this Kentucky squad enough.

Stanford -7.5 @ DePaul.  DePaul got smothered at home by Lehigh.
Unbelievable from Stanford.  Unbelievable.  0-4.

Detroit -3 v. Bowling Green.  This seems generous but I've been wrong on a lot of my "this line is off" calls the past couple days.

Northern Iowa -7.5 v. Richmond.  Richmond hasn't really shown me anything yet this season.

New Mexico -9 v. USC.  I'm simply not taking USC in The Pit.

Delaware +30.5 @ Villanova.  This is a rivalry game.  The Blue Hens should be able to keep it within 30.

Southern Mississippi +3 @ Drexel.  A little worried about this pick but it's Drexel.

California -6 @ Fresno State.  What?  Cal's looked great so far and Fresno's 1-5.
And the no (wins) hitter is broken up.  By a point (although there were a few near-misses in those first 9 losses.)  1-9.

Miami (Ohio) -6 v. Elon.  Eww.

Michigan State PK v. Kansas in the Orlando (nee Old Spice) final.  Izzo's 4-1 against Kansas and this KU squad lacks its usual talent and has some rotation issues.
Marquette +2.5 v. Tennessee in the Orlando (nee Old Spice) third place game.  Coin flip.  Taking the points and the team who I've been right about twice in this event (although I didn't pick Tennessee/Kansas)
Rhode Island -2.5 v. Georgia Tech.  Now that I'm pretty sure you're decent, don't let me down Rams!

Valparaiso -3 v. Portland.  Thank God today is the end of all these neutral site tourneys with mid/low majors.
Murray State -9 v. Drake.  I mean, they should be at least able to cover a 9 point spread against The Drake.
A quarter as many pushes as wins!  4-11-1.

Western Michigan +2.5 v. San Diego in the Anaheim 5th place game.  The Toreros already beat the Broncos 77-70 at home on Monday.  If home court is worth 3 points, shouldn't USD be 4 point favorites here?
Long Beach State +7.5 v. Xavier in the Anaheim 3rd place game.  This too is a rematch that X won by 23 twelve days ago.  They shot the lights out in that game, which is unlikely to happen again and this one should be much closer.
Princeton -5.5 v. San Jose State in the Anaheim 7th place game.  Come on Tigers.  You have a proud basketball history.  Don't lose to San Jose State.

Tulane -7 v. Tennessee Tech.  Tulane's won 4 in a row by double digits against the gauntlet of Mississippi Valley State, Southern New Orleans, Southern and SE Louisiana.  At least they didn't lose by 12 to USC like their opponents.

Arkansas -12.5 v. Iona.  The O/U here is 168, which suggests a 90-78 final.  Yeah this will be high scoring.  I like Iona but it's just really hard to take a low major at Bud Walton, particularly when it plays the same up and down style but with inferior athletes & talent.

Maryland -22 v. VMI.  My Terps only got to 61 in a disappointing 5 point win over Monmouth after a comprehensive performance in KC to beat Iowa State.  They should be able to get well beyond 61 here.

Montana +9.5 @ San Francisco.  Just seems like a lot of points, also I'm kinda scared to pick against Montana after the WHUPPIN their football team put on San Diego yesterday.

Monmouth +14.5 @ SMU.  I'm digging the Hawks playing bigger schools tough this year AND I get to pick against SMU?

North Dakota State -4.5 @ Montana State.  Ewwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww.

Oregon -15 v. Portland State.  Vikings already won at USC but Oregon's a lot more competent than USC.

Colorado -16 v. Lipscomb.  I'm still bitter at Lipscomb for never giving city rival Belmont more of a challenge during their days in the Atlantic Sun.  The games between the two were always tight but the Bison could just never put it together for a full season.

Washington +4 v. UTEP in the Anaheim title game.  I wasn't sure what this line would be last night and the Miners as 4 points favorites seems generous, considering their last 3 wins are by 1, 6 and 4.

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