Friday, January 16, 2015

College Basketball Picks - Saturday, January 17

Saturday picks will be beneath the Friday brackets and bubble watches because I'd rather bury my literally average picks rather than the hardest work I do all week.  So there.

Tulsa -6.5 @ South Florida.  This could be a bit of a beartrap coming off the high of the win over UConn but it's still South Florida.
1-0

Minnesota -12.5 v. Rutgers.  SERIOUSLY.  They are so due for a nice comfortable home win.  And Rutgers can't keep playing this well.
1-1

LSU -6 v. Texas A&M.  The John Chavis Bowl!
1-2

Central Michigan +4.5 @ Akron.  I like both these teams but I like the Chippewas (and the points) more.
1-3

Houston -1 v. Tulane.  Green Wave gotta be reeling from the triple OT loss at UCF.
1-4

Marquette +10 @ Xavier.  Yeah, I'm picking a Big East game to be close.  Imagine that.
2-4

William & Mary -6 @ Towson.  Tribe won't fall down 20 in the first half in this one.
3-4

Eastern Michigan -8 v. Northern Illinois.  I'm gonna be just as stubborn with these guys as I am with Minnesota.
3-4-1

Duke +4 @ Louisville.  Gonna predict Okafor to outplay Montrezl Harrell and the rest of the group to get it together as well.  They'll certainly be tighter on defense and probably force Louisville's guards in to yet another awful shooting day.
4-4

Western Michigan +9 @ Toledo.   Might just take the points in any of the MAC games between the double digit win teams.
5-4

Dayton -16 v. Saint Louis.  Dayton at home against an overmatched opponent.
5-4-2

Penn State -1.5 v. Purdue.  Home team.
5-5

NC State -2 @ Florida State.  This is the worst Florida State team in a few years.
6-5

Kansas +4 @ Iowa State.  For the rest of my life when these two hook up in Hilton, I'll think about the OT Big Monday game two years ago after which I left the bar and drove home before I should have and almost got busted for a DUI.  Maybe the dumbest thing I've ever done.  Other than that, I'm looking forward to this!
6-6

Miami (FL) +6.5 @ Notre Dame.  They just went to Cameron and crushed souls in the second half.  Sure, let's give them 6 and a half points.
7-6

Virginia -13 @ Boston College.  Literally all they have to do is make sure Olivier Hanlan doesn't get hot from 3.
8-6

La Salle -12.5 v. Fordham.  Fordham's bad.
8-7

Memphis -13 v. Central Florida.  Going to FedEx is hard enough even after regular games, never mind triple OT wars.
9-7

Ohio State +1.5 @ Iowa.  Payback time.
9-8

Hofstra -11.5 v. UNC Wilmington.  Seahawks should lay down after the crushing collapse at Bill & Mary.
9-9

VCU -13.5 @ Duquesne.  This wouldn't be a bad time for the Dukes to bring back their fast paced system with tons of subs.  They were doing platoons before Calipari made it cool!
9-10

Yale -5 @ Brown.  Ivy League play's finally starting?!
10-10

Wichita State -5.5 @ Evansville.  Toughest road test left for the Shocks - other than the trip to UNI of course.
11-10

Florida PK @ Georgia.  Gators are just warming up.
11-11

Massachusetts -1 v. Rhode Island.  Rams might let VCU beat them twice.
12-11

Indiana State -4 @ Drake.  This is really generous.
12-12

Green Bay -5 @ Detroit.  Bounceback for the Phoenix.
13-12

Buffalo -15 v. Miami (Ohio.)  I don't know where my love for Buffalo comes from.  Maybe because it's a fun word to say/type.
13-13

Kansas State -1 v. Baylor.  Surprising line and shows you that the bookies have noticed K-State's improvement.  And that Baylor tends to mess up road games like this.
14-13

UTEP -7 @ Texas San Antonio.  Miners can defend.  Roadrunners can't.
15-13

Georgia State -10.5 @ Appalachian State.  This is REALLY generous.
15-14

Pittsburgh -5.5 v. Georgia Tech.  Beating Pitt at the Zoo without 3 pointers is hard.
15-15

Syracuse -1 @ Clemson.  This is really generous.
15-16

Delaware -3 v. Drexel.  Drexel was favored the other night and scored 35 points.
15-17

Maryland -3 v. Michigan State.  Please, PLEASE be more watchable than the last one.
16-17

Texas Tech +2.5 v. TCU.  The streak continues!
16-18

SMU -19 v. East Carolina.  Will Jeff Lebo be able to do whatever he wants and not get fired for practically forever at ECU like at Auburn?
17-18

Ball State +9.5 @ Bowling Green.  This is a little puzzling given the Cardinals strong MAC start.
17-19

Vanderbilt -4 @ Mississippi State.  Yeah I think I'm back to assuming Mississippi State's as bad as ever.
17-20

Kentucky -8.5 @ Alabama.  Alabama can't shoot 3's and they struggle at rebounding.  That's called a "bad matchup."
18-20

Middle Tennessee State +12 @ Louisiana Tech.  Probably a mistake pick but I respect the Blue Raiders too much.
19-20

Gonzaga -19.5 @ Loyola Marymount.  This became even more of a lock when they struggled at Pepperdine.
19-21

George Mason +11.5 @ George Washington.  Beltway Derby!
20-21

Columbia -2.5 @ Cornell.  Has Columbia even played a game in 2015?  Doesn't feel like it.
21-21

Colorado +4 @ Arizona State.  This is TOTALLY a game Colorado blows but ASU's too bad for me to take.
21-22

Butler +4 @ Georgetown.  Butler on the road, Georgetown playing close games at home, etc.
22-22

Illinois State -12 v. Bradley.  Hey remember when Bradley played Pitt in the tournament and the scoreboard said BRAD PITT?  That was fun.
22-23

Arkansas Little Rock +2 @ UL Monroe.  Reviving my UALR (that's hard to type) love.
22-24

Georgia Southern -5 @ Troy.  MARK BYINGTON.
22-25

Marshall +7 @ Florida Atlantic.  Stubbornly picking Marshall again.  At least I know FAU's bad so I'm in with a shout!
22-26

Davidson +1 @ Richmond.  Spiders won't be ready for the running after the sloggiest of double OT slogs (actually that's probably still Maryland/MSU) vs GW.
22-27

Western Kentucky -5.5 @ Florida International.  You gotta love Western Kentucky.  Every time you forget about them they just pop back up on the scene.
23-27

Tennessee +1 @ Missouri.  A tournament team needs to win this.  Then again LSU's a tournament team and lost at Mizzou in OT so maybe I'm just babbling nonsense.
24-27

San Diego State -8 v. UNLV.  I really can't wait until Dave Rice is fired.
24-28

Air Force +6.5 @ Utah State.  Might be time for Stew Morrill to hang 'em up.
24-29

Texas -2 v. West Virginia.  Time to stop the bleeding.
25-29

San Francisco -2 @ Santa Clara.  Can we just pretend this is a WCC tourney play in and not even let the loser fly out to Vegas?
25-30

Villanova -18 @ Penn.  This would probably be like 25 if this weren't a Big 5 game.
25-31

Oklahoma State +7 @ Oklahoma.  I'm finally on the Pokes bandwagon which means they're probably getting trashed here.
25-32

Utah +4 @ Arizona.  The three big showdowns tomorrow each have the road teams getting 4.  And I'm taking all 3 of them!
25-33

Wyoming -2 @ Fresno State.  The NCAA hopes are dashed if they lose this.
26-33

Northeastern -10 v. Charleston.  I was a little worried about the Huskies earlier in the season but not now.
26-34

Valparaiso +1 @ Wright State.  What is this?
27-34

Ohio +7 @ Kent State.  I truly have no idea with the MAC so I'm just taking the points everywhere (except with Northern Illinois.)
27-35

Cleveland State -6 @ Youngstown State.  The Viking resurgence continues!
28-35

Charlotte -13.5 v. Rice.  Charlotte's been quiet lately.
28-36

Old Dominion -15.5 v. North Texas.  Monarchs are due for a blowout.
28-37

Creighton -1 v. Providence.  Bluejays have played well at home for the most part, they've just been unlucky.  Luck changes.
28-38

Cincinnati -5 v. Temple.  Bearcats continue to be money at Shoemaker.
29-38

James Madison -6 v. Elon.  Ahhhh back to picking against Elon all the time.
29-39

UAB -4.5 @ Southern Mississippi.  Picking Saturdays is such a PITA.  Watching and following the games is much more fun.
30-39

Texas State +2 @ Arkansas State.  C-USA sleeper baby!
30-40

Pepperdine -5 v. Portland.  Obvious letdown spot but I like the Waves too much and I've completely faded Portland.
30-41

Hawaii +1 @ UC Riverside.  I really hope Hawaii shows the form they did in the Diamond Head and mounts a Big West challenge.
30-42

UL Lafayette -13 v. South Alabama.  The new Sun Belt favorite!
30-43

Northwestern +8 @ Michigan.  Refusing to take Michigan after how embarrassing Tuesday was.
31-43

Auburn +2.5 v. South Carolina.  Seems like a great spot for a Bruce Pearl home win.
32-43

Connecticut +4 @ Stanford.  Why is this game happening?  It's gotta be related to the women's teams somehow, right?  At least it's not Penn/Niagara.
32-44

Washington State -1 v. Oregon State.  ERNIE KENT REVENGE TOUR.
32-45

CS Fullerton +1.5 v. UC Davis.  Makes too much sense in this year's Big West.
32-46

Arkansas -8 v. Mississippi.  Hogs at Bud Walton.
32-47

Colorado State -18 @ San Jose State.  They might win this by 70.  Seriously.  They just won by 58 over a team a lot better than San Jose State!
33-47

Cal Poly -2 @ CS Northridge.  Cal Poly's gonna find a way to be in the Big West mix, you watch.
33-48

Pacific +3.5 v. San Diego.  Inspired effort by the Tigers last night against BYU and I've kinda faded the Toreros too.
34-48

Saint Mary's -1.5 v. BYU.  These two need to develop a rivalry to be second banana to Gonzaga.  Not to root for a fight....but we may need a fight.
35-48

Long Beach State -3.5 v. UC Santa Barbara.  The Alan Williams Project was derailed by its titular member having the flu.  He may still have it and even if he doesn't, the Beach and its fans will be up for this.
36-48

The Citadel -4 v. Furman.  LOVE seeing Chuck Driesell slowly turning them around.  Don't be a jinx.
36-49

East Tennessee State -1 @ VMI.  Seems generous.
36-50

Eastern Illinois +5 @ Morehead State.  WHERE'S THE RESPECT?  Some serious Rodney Dangerfielding of the Panthers going down right now.
37-50

Northern Colorado -2 @ North Dakota.  I flat refuse to think North Dakota's any good.  I refuse.
38-50

Mercer -12.5 v. Samford.  Samford.
39-50

South Dakota +9 @ South Dakota State.  Gotta take the points given how evenly matched all the Dakotas are this year.
39-51

Northern Arizona -10 v. Idaho State.  Back to picking against Idaho State all the time.
39-52

Tennessee Martin -9.5 v. Jacksonville State.  Skyhawks is a great name, if a little redundant.
39-53

SE Missouri State -4 v. Tennessee Tech.  DICKEY NUTT.
39-53-3

Wofford -8 v. Western Carolina.  Why can't I stop doing this?
40-53

Eastern Kentucky -11 v. SIU Edwardsville.  May never take SIU Edwardsville again after that Morehead game.
41-53

IPFW +8.5 @ Oral Roberts.  MASTODONS.
42-53

Murray State -24 v. Tennessee State.  Can't make this line high enough.
42-54

Belmont -6.5 @ Austin Peay.  Seems generous.
42-55

Montana -11 v. Montana State.  Brawl of the Wild!
43-55

Weber State -5 @ Southern Utah.  Seems generous.
43-56

Eastern Washington -2 @ Sacramento State.  Love the Big Sky games.  They're always listed at or near the end.
43-57

Idaho -1 @ Portland State.  We made it.
43-58

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