Wednesday, January 28, 2015

College Basketball Picks - Wednesday, January 28

UCF +7 v. Temple
Temple was up 37-18 at the half then dropped another 49 in the second 20 minutes.  I hope they make the tournament so I can stupidly fall in love with them and take them to win when they won't.  0-1.

Fordham +9 v. Rhode Island
Rhody continues to be unimpressive since blowing the VCU game but at least they won.  By a point.  1-1.

Richmond -11.5 v. Duquesne
Meanwhile, it's the Spiders who are playing much better basketball lately; they're 4-2 in their last 6 with high scoring blowouts of Davidson and Duquesne and the losses are at GW in double OT and at Dayton by 3.  Wonder what they can do in the trip across town to Havoc on Saturday....2-1.

Seton Hall +3.5 @ Marquette
I get why this line was what it was - the Pirates have cooled considerably - but it still wasn't indicative of who's clearly the better team.  3-1.

Wake Forest +4.5 @ Florida State
This went to double OT in front of dozens in Leon County.  FSU covered by a bucket.  Another brutal loss for Danny Manning's kids.  3-2.

Northeastern -6 @ Drexel
Oh Northeastern.  What did you do.  3-3.

Penn State +1 v. Minnesota
Gophers are easily the B1G's most disappointing team, which is impressive considering the years the Michigan schools are having.  4-3.

UNC Wilmington -5 v. Elon
How about the Seahawks?!  Now SEVEN and two in the CAA after a 17 point win here.  If they hadn't blown that 22 point lead at William & Mary they'd be alone atop the conference.  Maybe the biggest surprise package in any of the one bid leagues.  5-3.

LSU -5 v. South Carolina
Covered by a point.  Also I learned last night that the Gamecocks have camouflage shorts.  Not a good look.  That Iowa State win's gonna go to waste.  6-3.

Delaware +6.5 @ James Madison
Half point cover.  Worth noting how much better they've been since they became full strength.  I would go so far as to call them a sleeper to make some noise in the CAA tourney.  Not win it.  Make some noise.  7-3.

William & Mary -2.5 v. Hofstra
Well, then.  The Tribe made a dramatic statement of intent by dropping 54 in the first half and leading by 20.  They've made a few CAA tourney finals in recent memory but they've never been the pre-tournament favorite.  They might be this year.  8-3.

Oakland -4 v. Wright State
Another multi possession spread covered in OT.  Feel like there's been a lot of those this year.  A lot of lopsided OT's.  9-3.

SMU -11.5 @ South Florida
Half point miss.  9-4.

Oklahoma -16 v. Texas Tech
81-36 sounds like an Oklahoma FOOTBALL blowout of Texas Tech.  Back when Oklahoma football was dominant.  10-4.

Duke -1 @ Notre Dame
Young kids can't win on the road #narrative.  Blue Devils blew a 10 point second half lead and scored 8 points in the final 11 minutes.  Jerian Grant did EVERYTHING.  We've seen this kind of ND team before though - I still have them flaming out early in the NCAA's for now.  10-5.

Loyola Chicago +19 @ Wichita State
Insane line.  One of the reasons it's hard for Wichita to cover these big Valley spreads is because teams slow them down and the Ramblers defend really well to boot.  11-5.

Oregon State +7 @ Arizona State
This too was an insane line.  So of course Oregon State drops a total dud.  No one in the Pac-12 should be outscored by 17 points by Arizona State in a half.  11-6.

Southern Illinois +7 v. Northern Iowa

Illinois State -11.5 v. Missouri State
Point and a half miss.  11-7.

Drake +8 @ Bradley
Drake's been better lately and that continues with a 12 point win here.  12-7.

Houston -5 v. Rice

Kansas -4 @ TCU
Sluggish Jayhawk performance to miss a cover by a point.  Maybe TCU wins this if it's playing in its own gym.  13-8.

Indiana +4.5 @ Purdue
Oh goodness.  Hoosiers might be the highest variance home/road team in the power 5.  13-9.

Georgia Tech +9.5 @ Miami (FL)
A 29 and a half point cover!  Really though losing by 20 at home to previously winless in the ACC Georgia Tech might be worse than losing by 28 at home to Eastern Kentucky.  14-9.

NC State -8 v. Clemson
The kind of loss that could keep the Wuffies out of the tournament.  Here's hoping.  14-10.

Mississippi State +13 @ Mississippi
Home team has won the last 8 basketball Egg Bowls.  Rebels got out really slowly and trailed by 4 at the half but dropped a 51 point second half.  If they can get in the tournament, they can be as dangerous as the Marshall Henderson team was.  15-10.

Memphis -14.5 v. East Carolina
Two and a half point miss.  15-11.

Louisville -9.5 @ Boston College
Half point miss.  15-12.

St. John's -1 @ Creighton
Oh St. John's......15-13.

Air Force -8.5 @ San Jose State
2011-12 Utah might be the last team I recall being as overmatched in a top 8 conference as San Jose State is in the Mountain West.  16-13.

Oregon +15 @ Arizona
Good lord the Wildcats have turned it on.  16-14.

Washington +2 v. Stanford
Whoops Robert Upshaw doesn't qualify for Ewing Theory.  16-15.

Morehead State -3 @ Austin Peay
I miss when this used to really matter in the OVC.  17-15.

Nebraska Omaha +10.5 @ South Dakota State
Damn, it really looked like Omaha was gonna be better than this when they almost hit 100 at Marquette.  17-16.

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