Wednesday, January 14, 2015

College Basketball Picks - Wednesday, January 14

Somehow went 10-11 yesterday even though it felt like a Duke-in-the-second-half-level catastrophe.  I've been hovering right around .500 since mid-December.  Maybe I should just start flipping coins.

George Mason +4.5 @ St. Bonaventure.  Sure, I'll take 4 and a half points against a team that would be on a 5 game losing streak if not for the shocking road win at UMass.  Plus I bought back in on Mason after they beat Iona and I'm not selling that stock yet because I forever love them and want them to become one of the top mid majors again.

Fordham +9.5 @ Saint Joseph's.  A battle of 0-3 A-10 teams and # 340 vs # 341 in 3 point shooting percentage.  The Joes will win but 4 of their 6 victories are by single digits so I can't feel good taking them here.

Dayton -6.5 v. La Salle.  The Flyers need to keep on cruising.  This is not a good A-10 and they need to stay a step ahead of most of the rest of the pack to help their NCAA tournament chances.

North Carolina -5 @ N.C. State.  Oh thank god, a non A-10 game.  Letdown time for the Pack and UNC's flying high after that wild comeback against Louisville.  Obviously NCSU's win over Duke looks less impressive now too.

St. John's +3 @ Providence.  I continue to have no clue with the Big East.  I think the Johnnies need a win more so I'm taking them.

Georgia Tech +4 v. Notre Dame.  This is a bigtime bubble game for the Jackets, especially after missing that home shot at Syracuse last week but moreso, I'm fading the Irish here.  It seems clear they're not as good as they showed in Chapel Hill last Monday.

Maryland -14 v. Rutgers.  Letdown for the Knights and this is a hope pick more than anything - we really could use a blowout.

Central Michigan -11.5 v. Miami (Ohio.)  Oh good I was already not feeling any semblance of confidence in these picks and now we're in to the MAC games.  Of course, I'm feeling good that my Chippewas step back up from a miserable loss at Ball State to handle business at home.

Ohio +2.5 v. Toledo.  I've wrongfully believed the Bobcats were a contender all season long, why stop now?  This is also a bit too low of a number for a Toledo team that may have turned the corner with a dominant second half against Akron on Friday so I'm trying to avoid the trap.

Akron -3.5 v. Bowling Green.  There are seven double digit win teams in the MAC and the Falcons are the only ones who are 2-0.  But Akron's back home after taking that whipping in the second half I just talked about and BG's not avoiding MAC parity forever.

Cleveland State +2 @ Wright State.  Vikings started 3-0 in the Horizon before losing by a deuce at Valpo.  I think they've turned the corner and they might give the Crusaders and Green Bay a run at the top of the league.

Harvard -3.5 @ Boston College.  It's hilarious how much they've dominated this series in recent years.  Keep it going.

William & Mary -11 v. UNC Wilmington.  CAA favorite at home against an also ran.  Wilmington doesn't defend the 3 very well which is especially bad for this matchup.

Tulane -1.5 @ Central Florida.  COME ON TULANE.  Don't blow a game like this.  SHOW THE WORLD YOU CAN BE AN AMERICAN CONTENDER.

Houston +3.5 @ East Carolina.  They showed the American standings during Tulsa/UConn and I was surprised to see the Cougars at 0-4.  Not that they're any great (or even good) but they're not THAT bad.  East Carolina IS that bad.

Delaware -3 v. Towson.  It's very possible I don't pick Towson the rest of the year solely because I was third row for their.....whatever the opposite of "magnum opus" is.  Plus the Blue Hens continue to improve - that winless start seems long ago.

Northeastern -2.5 v. Hofstra.  Top of the table collision in the CAA!  Huskies win to create a three way tie between these two and Bill & Mary at 4-1.  Let's go.

Illinois State -3.5 @ Indiana State.  The ISU bowl!  Blue already won by a deuce at Red so it's splitsville time.  Red has rebounded from its 0-2 league start and it's time for Blue to stop being unbeaten in the league.

Eastern Michigan +4 @ Kent State.  They CAN'T fall to 0-3 in the MAC....can they?  Kent really struggles to score if you can shut down the 3 and the Eagles should be good enough defensively to do that.

Ball State +9.5 @ Western Michigan.  The Cardinals are the surprise of the MAC thus far as they're 2-0 with wins against Eastern and Central Michigan who were arguably two of the top three teams coming in to league play.  I don't think they win here but they'll come close.

Buffalo -9.5 v. Northern Illinois.  First MAC home game for the Bulls.  I expect big things.

LSU +5.5 @ Mississippi.  LSU's better than South Carolina.  Keep the faith in fading Mississippi at home.

Elon -6 v. Charleston.  Was not aware the Cougars have dropped EIGHT straight.  Yet another proud low major program that has fallen on hard times.

Davidson -1 @ Massachusetts.  The only thing that makes sense about this line is that's a really long trip for a Wednesday night.  That will probably just encourage Derek Kellogg even more to try and run against the Wildcats, which is a bad idea.

Temple +2 v. SMU.  Speaking of long trips for a Wednesday night, jesus.  Can you believe UConn went to Tulsa last night and now SMU's going to Temple and these are both conference games?  It's like my created team Conference USA from the NCAA games with teams literally all across the country (including Alaska/Hawaii) has come to life.

Loyola Chicago -12 v. Drake.  PORTER MOSER.  What a gift.  Drake may not even get to 40.

Detroit -5 @ Illinois Chicago.  They should be a cut above.

Wichita State -18.5 v. Southern Illinois.  Not particularly thrilled with the Shockers this year but you gotta keep taking these big numbers because the bottom half of this league is so bad.

Kansas State -9.5 v. Texas Tech.  The Wildcats have improved markedly since Big 12 play began.  The Red Raiders...have not.

Saint Louis -3.5 v. Duquesne.  Another halfway across the country trip on a Wednesday night.  Student athletes!

Evansville -1 @ Missouri State.  Puzzling line.

Wisconsin Milwaukee -3 v. Youngstown State.  Bad team at home over bad team on road.

Marquette -5 v. Creighton.  Jays are totally winning this to confuse us all even further about the Big East.

New Mexico -10 v. Air Force.  When altitude....meets The Pit WisePies.

Vanderbilt -2 v. Georgia.  Home court still seems to matter in the SEC.


Florida State +6.5 v. Pitt.  Taking the points in what should be a thrilling, well-flowing shootout (actually the exact opposite of that.)

Villanova -10 v. Xavier.  They look to be even further ahead of the rest than we all thought.

Iowa State +1.5 @ Baylor.  Yeah I'm not taking Scott Drew in what I think is going to be a really close game after last Wednesday.

Illinois -2 @ Northwestern.  Seems generous.

Colorado State -10.5 v. Nevada.  Switched this pick twice, which is rare.

Fresno State -11 @ San Jose State.  They just got Cezar Guerrero back.  San Jose State just lost three players and is San Jose State.

Wyoming -2 v. San Diego State.  ESPN's not gonna send a crew here and it's already pissing me off.

Stanford -2.5 @ California.  #RememberWhen Cal was 10-1?

VMI -4 @ UNC Greensboro.  Always relish the chance to take VMI.

Monmouth -2.5 v. Saint Peter's.  Gotta win this to keep pace with Iona!

South Dakota State -9.5 v. IUPUI.  If you put a gun to my head and told me to pick the Summit winner, I'd probably take the Jackrabbits.

Nebraska Omaha +7 @ Oral Roberts.  Feels like I haven't had the chance to take these guys in forever.

North Dakota State PK @ South Dakota.  Is there some sort of trophy for whoever has the best record in the games between the Dakotas and their State counterparts?  Because there should be.

Denver -12 v. Western Illinois.  I'm done with Denver....except for when they're facing an opponent this bad at home.

SE Missouri State -2.5 @ Jacksonville State.  Feels like I haven't had the chance to take DICKEY NUTT in forever.

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