Wednesday, January 7, 2015

College Basketball Picks - Wednesday, January 7

Started 9-1 yesterday, finished 13-7.  That's happened a number of times this year; I hit most of my early picks and then start fading late.  Maybe I need to start taking breaks midway through?

Indiana State -1.5 v. Missouri State.  I don't know why I counted the Sycamores out before Missouri Valley play.  That was kinda dumb.  Maybe it's kinda dumb to count the Bears out too but probably not.

South Carolina -1 v. Florida.  The Gamecocks are a shockingly high 25th in KenPom (one spot behind the Gators) and SIXTH in adjusted defensive efficiency.  Frank Martin looks to finally have the players he wants.  Still skittish about this pick as it's traditionally a top SEC power against a bottom feeder.  Big game for both.

Eastern Michigan -13 v. Ball State.  Seems generous.

Ohio -7.5 v. Northern Illinois.  One of these two MAC favorites isn't covering but I'm not sure which so I'll take both.

Temple -3.5 @ Tulane.  Green Wave are 11-3 and 2-0 in the American after winning at Memphis over the weekend.  Are they for real?  Ehhhhhh probably not.

Kent State -2.5 v. Bowling Green.  Two good but not great MAC teams, I think.

Buffalo -6 @ Miami (Ohio).  Let's just take all the MAC favorites even though there's a ton of parity in the league, shall we?  To be fair I'm picking against the under .500 teams.

Davidson +10 @ VCU.  I'm actually looking forward to this one and disappointed I'm going to miss it.  Big measuring stick game for the Wildcats and a win would really put them in the mid major at large conversation.  I think they come close but don't get it.

Rhode Island -15 v. Fordham.  Still not totally buying the Rams but I've liked Dan Hurley since he was at Wagner and the (other) Rams are bad.

La Salle -3.5 v. Massachusetts.  Meh, two middle of the pack A-10 teams.

St. Joseph's PK @ Duquesne.  Meh, two lower tier A-10 teams.

Virginia -14 v. N.C. State.  The Wolfpack have one scorer.  That's probably not gonna be enough against this defense.

Georgia Tech +3.5 v. Syracuse.  GT taking ND to double OT only looks better after Monday night.  Syracuse almost blowing it at Virginia Tech will never look better.  Have to say I'm a bit puzzled by this line.

Seton Hall +7.5 @ Xavier.  Too many points.  This should be close and fun.  Whoever wins will be definitely helping out their resume.

Wisconsin -16.5 v. Purdue.  It's so weird to have one team far and away above the rest in the B1G but here we are.

Wichita State -18.5 v. Bradley.  The Shockers need a nice, easy blowout.  Bradley's the perfect opponent.

Loyola Chicago +6 @ Evansville.  PORTER MOSER.

Northern Iowa -13 v. Southern Illinois.  A clear tournament team doesn't mess around here.

Illinois State -12.5 v. Drake.  Already dreading who I'm gonna pick when Drake plays Bradley.

Colorado State -5 v. Wyoming.  Cowboys could REALLY use this scalp for their resume but it's really hard to win in Fort Collins.  With how shaky San Diego State continues to look, maybe one of these two can make a run for the regular season crown?

Tennessee -1.5 @ Mississippi State.  The Vols could actually put together a decent resume with none of their 4 nonconference losses all that harmful unless Marquette tanks in Big East play and useful wins over Butler and K-State.  Can't lose this one though.

Kansas State -4.5 v. TCU.  And the thud back to reality for the Frogs continues.

Air Force -13 v. San Jose State.  56.5% of the action on Bookmaker is on San Jose State which is puzzling because have those people followed San Jose State, like, at all?

DePaul +10 @ Creighton.  That's CONFERENCE LEADING DEPAUL I'm taking, that's right.

Clemson +16 @ Louisville.  I'm sure this will be a lovely, aesthetically pleasing basketball game.

Utah -10.5 v. Colorado.  Have the Buffs ever recovered from that beating Pitt laid on them in the tournament?

Wake Forest +15.5 v. Duke.  The Deacs almost always play the Devils well at home, even despite all the other problems during the Bzzzzzzzzzzzzzz era.  They won this game last year which unfortunately wasn't enough to buy him another year :(  They won't win this one but they should play hard and they've got a number of big bodies to throw at Okafor.

Maryland +1 @ Illinois.  We're STILL underdogs even with no Rayvonte Rice for the Illini?  I hope Turgeon is showing the guys these insulting spreads and using them as motivation.

Kansas +3 @ Baylor.  This is just a guess that the Bears are still a step behind the other Big 12 contenders and Self seems to be figuring out his rotations.  Oubre getting more playing time is huge.

UC Davis -6.5 v. CS Northridge.  The Aggies have done nothing but disappoint since I gave them the Big West auto in my last bracket but they shouldn't have issues here.

California -1.5 @ USC.  Come on now.  I know they just lost at home to Washington State but lightning's not striking twice.

Utah State +4 @ Fresno State.  Aggies have won 6 of 7 after a 3-4 start and letdown time for Fresno after the SDSU upset at the weekend.

UNLV -10 v. Nevada.  I've loved taking the Wolfpack all season and the Rebs faded at Kansas late but they're back home now where I'm expecting them to be dominant after playing so well against Arizona.

St. Peter's +3.5 @ Manhattan.  Luis Flores isn't walking through that door.

Oral Roberts -11 v. IUPUI.  I hate picking Oral Roberts games slightly less when they host dreadful teams like IUPUI.

South Dakota State -10.5 v. Western Illinois.  The Jackrabbits already lost at Denver, but the Pioneers lost at home over the weekend to North Dakota.  The Summit is WIDE OPEN.  SDSU can still take it.

Eastern Illinois -6 @ Tennessee State.  When in doubt, pick against the psuedo SWAC team.

Belmont -10 v. SIU Edwardsville.  Maybe the most generous line of the night.  Hell, this might be even more generous than the # 11 team in the country getting a point at a middle of the pack Big Ten team missing its one really good player.

Hawaii -4 v. Cal Poly.  Maybe the most generous line of the night.  Oh wait I forgot the # 11 team in the country is getting a point at a middle of the pack Big Ten team missing its one really good player.

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